Current:Home > reviewsThe alarming reason why the heat waves in North America, Europe are so intense -CapitalCourse
The alarming reason why the heat waves in North America, Europe are so intense
View
Date:2025-04-24 16:17:29
The dangerous heat waves currently plaguing North America and Europe would be "virtually impossible" without anthropogenic, or human-caused, climate change, according to a new report.
Intense weeks-long heat waves have been continuously breaking heat records on both continents, with no relief in sight. In Europe, prolonged sizzling temperatures are expected in countries like Italy, Spain, France, Germany and Poland, the European Space Agency announced last week. Regions in the U.S. that have been experiencing record-breaking heat, including the Southwest and Southeast, will continue to experience scorching temperatures for the foreseeable future, forecasts show.
MORE: Severe heat forecast: Where scorching temperatures will persist over the next week
The heat waves occurring in Europe, North America and China throughout July would not have been possible without global warming, according to a rapid attribution analysis by World Weather Attribution, an academic collaboration that uses weather observations and climate models to calculate how climate change influences the intensity and likelihood of extreme weather events.
Temperatures have skyrocketed to 45 degrees Celsius -- or 113 degrees Fahrenheit -- in some regions, prompting heat alerts, wildfires and heat-related hospital admissions and deaths, the researchers said.
The recent heat waves are no longer considered "unusual," as the continued warming from greenhouse gas emissions will cause future heat waves to be even hotter unless emissions are drastically cut, according to the report.
Climate change has made heatwaves hotter, longer and more frequent, evidence shows. The researchers studied the periods of most dangerous heat in each of the regions, and found that these heat waves are no longer rare due to warming caused by burning fossils and other human activities, the report found.
MORE: Mix of extreme heat and wildfire smoke can be very dangerous, experts say
The study also found that climate change made the current heatwave in China at least 50 times more likely and that current temperatures in Europe and North America would not have been impossible without the effects of burning coal, oil and gas, deforestation and other human activities.
Temperatures in Europe have measured about 2.5 degrees Celsius -- or 36.5 degrees Fahrenheit -- more than normal, while the heat wave in North America was about 2 degrees Celsius -- or 35.6 degrees Fahrenheit -- higher, the analysis found. China was also at 1 degree Celsius -- or 33.8 degrees Fahrenheit -- higher, according to the report.
Events like these now have a 10% chance of occurring any given year in Europe and about a 6.7% chance of occurring in any given year in the U.S., the analysis found. Without human-induced climate change, extreme heat would likely be limited to just once every 250 years, while heat waves of the magnitude of what has been experienced in July would have been virtually impossible.
Because these heat events are expected to become more frequent, the need for humans to adapt and increase greenhouse gas mitigation efforts is vital, the researchers said.
"Our adaptation to that rapid change hasn't occurred fast enough that we are able to see them as common events at this point," Julie Arrighi, manager of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre in The Netherlands, told reporters during a news conference on Monday. "And so it underscores the need for our systems to adapt much faster, because the risks are rising faster than we are adapting."
MORE: European heat wave breaking records with little relief in sight
If global temperatures reach a 2-degree Celsius rise in temperatures since the 1800s, the heat waves will become even more frequent and extreme and occur every two to five years, according to the report. Temperatures have already risen about 1.2 Celsius since the late 1800s, according to climate scientists.
"In the past, these events would have been extremely rare," Friederike Otto, senior lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London, told reporters in a news conference on Monday. "So it would have been basically impossible that they would happen at the same time."
It is unclear how long the record-smashing temperatures will last, as the accuracy for forecasts decreases after a week. While the El Nino event is likely contributing somewhat to the additional heat, increased global temperatures from burning fossil fuels is the main reason the heatwaves are so severe, the researchers said.
MORE: Record-breaking heat waves in US and Europe prove climate change is already here, experts say
However, the heat waves are not evidence of "runaway warming" or climate collapse, Otto said, adding that there is still time to move the needle on greenhouse gas mitigation.
"We still have time to secure a safe and healthy future, but we urgently need to stop burning fossil fuels and invest in decreasing vulnerability," Otto said. "If we do not, tens of thousands of people will keep dying from heat-related causes each year."
veryGood! (77)
Related
- Will the 'Yellowstone' finale be the last episode? What we know about Season 6, spinoffs
- 2024 Olympics: Simone Biles Edges Out Rebeca Andrade for Gold in Women's Vault
- Aerosmith retires from touring, citing permanent damage to Steven Tyler’s voice last year
- Katie Ledecky cements her status as Olympic icon with 9th gold, 12 years after her first
- DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
- Katie Ledecky makes Olympic history again, winning 800m freestyle gold for fourth time
- Vermont suffered millions in damage from this week’s flooding and will ask for federal help
- Brooklyn Peltz Beckham Shares Photo From Hospital After Breaking His Shoulder
- Elon Musk's skyrocketing net worth: He's the first person with over $400 billion
- How Noah Lyles plans to become track's greatest showman at Paris Olympics and beyond
Ranking
- Gen. Mark Milley's security detail and security clearance revoked, Pentagon says
- Cameron McEvoy is the world's fastest swimmer, wins 50 free
- Parties in lawsuits seeking damages for Maui fires reach $4B global settlement, court filings say
- Coca-Cola to pay $6 billion in IRS back taxes case while appealing judge’s decision
- Macy's says employee who allegedly hid $150 million in expenses had no major 'impact'
- Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword, Look Behind You! (Freestyle)
- How did Simone Biles do today? Star gymnast adds another gold in vault final
- Class is in Session at Nordstrom Rack's 2024 Back-to-College Sale: Score Huge Savings Up to 85% Off
Recommendation
Opinion: Gianni Infantino, FIFA sell souls and 2034 World Cup for Saudi Arabia's billions
At Paris Games, athletes can't stop talking about food at Olympic Village
Is Sha'Carri Richardson running today? Olympics track and field schedule, times for Aug. 3
Stock market today: Dow drops 600 on weak jobs data as a global sell-off whips back to Wall Street
Elon Musk's skyrocketing net worth: He's the first person with over $400 billion
Katie Ledecky makes Olympic history again, winning 800m freestyle gold for fourth time
Police search huge NYC migrant shelter for ‘dangerous contraband’ as residents wait in summer heat
Favre challenges a judge’s order that blocked his lead attorney in Mississippi welfare lawsuit